Week 1 of the NFL Preseason is in the books! Wasn’t surprised by any of the week 1 heroes and zeroes. With more reading, listening, research and analysis in the books. I’ve updated my rankings and each line break represents a tier. Drafting these players relies heavily on roster construction and draft flow. Again looking for value and upside after the initial early round picks. Hopefully this week of practice leading up to the games opens up some cloudy situations across the league.
As usual, potential injuries forecasted are taken into account with my rankings. AKA not drafting Trent Taylor at all and racking up Jalen Hurd numerous times before his outburst this past week! I am way more liberal with my receiver rankings than running back rankings and consider it immensely more difficult to dissect who to fade. Whereas my running back fades and forecast have been spot on. Pay attention to how NFL player depth charts, targets and touches play out as each week passes. Then if you have time, look up my glorious predictions (mixed in with some not so great ones).
Always striving to fine tune my craft, only to look back on my writings and learn from the predictions while findings ways to not make similar mistakes in the future. The challenges within Fantasy Football are vast. Perfection will never be found, one must change on the fly, overcome stubborn takes while staying somewhat true to the process. That is the goal in fantasy football when you don’t believe in luck. Every decision we make has consequences and being correct is the personal goal. Cheers!
- Julio Jones (Falcons) – Additions to the offensive line, favorable shoot out schedule potential, healthy Julio, various offensive weapons. Dirk Koeter back may be negative for redzone appeal. Falcons offense will fly high in 2019 and Julio Jones will push for 1,600 yards.
- Michael Thomas (Saints) – Safe weekly floor with redzone upside. Health is not a concern and for a 1st round pick. I place extreme value on dependability. Additions of Jared Cook, Latavius Murray and young deep threats at the wide receiver position bode well for Drew Brees. Thomas can run any route in the Saint’s offense and is Brees’ clutch target. Multiple huge fantasy performances and a few so so weeks are likely from Thomas.
- DeAndre Hopkins (Texans) – Year in year out elite performer. Regardless of the quarterback Nuk performs in fantasy and has an exceptional catch radius. In the prime of his career, sustained serious injuries last season yet played through them. Offensive system bodes well for Nuk and Watson hasn’t tapped into his prime yet.
- JuJu Smith Schuster (Steelers) – May lead NFL in targets and Big Ben will continue being the same old quarterback which gives JuJu a shot at being the #1 overall fantasy receiver. Talented offensive line and do not expect JuJu to see the double teams that AB saw.
- Odell Beckham Jr. (Browns) – Mayfield is a gunslinger who throws the deep ball well. Love OBJ as the season approaches. Especially his potential to be the Tyreek Hill of 2019 without the horrible low floor games. Needs to stay on the field.
- Davante Adams (Packers) – Still double digit touchdown potential but will not be targeted as much in 2019. The running backs and tight ends in Green Bay will see an increase in usage while Adam’s efficiency and connection with Rodgers will keep in relevant in the top 5 conversation.
- Amari Cooper (Cowboys) – 2019 will be Cooper’s fantasy breakout season with a consistent high floor finally! Double digit touchdowns in a contract year. I believe Cooper when he tells us all he cares about is getting better and wining this year. His head is on straight and he is in the prime of his career. 150 target potential.
- Tyreek Hill (Chiefs) – Efficiency will continue in a historic Kansas City Chief’s offense. Still low scoring weeks meaning roster construction is crucial when owning Hill. He will win weeks outright with his playmaking ability.
- Mike Evans (Buccaneers) – Elite touchdown upside in a pass heavy offense. Chemistry with Jameis Winston, perennial 1,000 yard receiver mixed in with a few dud weeks during the 2019 season.
- Antonio Brown (Raiders) – Frostbitten feet and helmet drama won’t keep Mr. Small Chest from playing in 2019. Still leary of Derek Carr and his inability with the deep ball but I have faith in Gruden calling AB’s number 10+ times on a weekly basis. The volume alone keeps Brown in my top ten. Brown comes with immense risk with his no need for football mentality and recent regression as an elite receiver.
- Adam Thielen (Vikings) – Continues to impress on his quest for a Superbowl. Ability to lineup anywhere on the field, good for 1 passing touchdown and produces in a variety of ways weekly.
- Keenan Allen (Chargers) – Potential for an elite season, in his prime and healthy.
- Chris Godwin (Buccaneers) – Volume, volume and more volume. Arians is not known for producing upper tier receivers in the fantasy football world. This year the Buccs will throw the ball 630+ times and find themselves in shootouts weekly. Year 1 of the new era will find the Buccs being that team that loses close games consistently. Expecting targets to be concentrated through Evans and Godwin. Then running backs and O.J. Howard. Finally the unknown speedsters on deep routes rounding out the target share.
- Stefon Diggs (Vikings)
- T.Y. Hilton (Colts)
- Brandin Cooks (Rams)
- Mike Williams (Chargers)
- Tyler Boyd (Bengals)
- Jarvis Landry (Browns)
- Allen Robinson (Bears)
- Kenny Golladay (Lions)
- Robert Woods (Rams)
- Corey Davis (Titans)
- AJ Green (Bengals)
- D.J. Moore (Panthers)
- Calvin Ridley (Falcons)
- Julian Eldeman (Patriots)
- Tyler Lockett (Seahawks)
- Will Fuller (Texans)
- Larry Fitzgerald (Cardinals)
- Sammy Watkins (Chiefs)
- Cooper Kupp (Rams)
- Desean Jackson (Eagles)
- Marquez Valdez-Scantling (Packers)
- Robby Anderson (Jets)
- Anthony Miller (Bears)
- Christian Kirk (Cardinals)
- Geronimo Allison (Packers)
- Curtis Samuel (Panthers)
- D.K. Metcalf (Seahawks)
- Alshon Jeffery (Eagles)
- Parris Campbell (Colts)
- Kneal Harry (Patriots)
- Dante Pettis (49ers)
- Marvin Jones (Lions)
- Jalen Hurd (49ers)
- Golden Tate (Giants)
- Dede Westbrook (Jaguars)
- Keke Coutee (Texans)
- Jamison Crowder (Jets)
- DeVante Parker (Dolphins)
- Sterling Shepard (Giants)
- Emmanuel Sanders (Broncos)
- Randall Cobb (Cowboys)
- Devin Funchess (Colts)
- James Washington (Steelers)
- Adam Humphries (Titans)
- Courtland Sutton (Broncos)
- Kenny Stills (Dolphins)
- Micole Hardman (Chiefs)
- Taylor Gabriel (Bears)
- Marquise Brown (Ravens)
- Michael Gallup (Cowboys)
- Deebo Samuel (49ers)
- Hunter Renfrow (Raiders)
- John Brown (Bills)
- Donte Moncrief (Steelers)
- Miles Boykin (Ravens)
- Zay Jones (Bills)
- Tre’Quan Smith (Saints)
- Tyrell Williams (Raiders)
- Trey Quinn (Redskins)
- Ted Ginn Jr. (Saints)
- A.J. Brown (Titans)
- Marquis Goodwin (49ers)
- Josh Malone (Bengals)
- Diontae Johnson (Steelers)
- Terry McLaurin (Redskins)
- Robert Foster (Bills)
- DaeSean Hamilton (Broncos)
- Andy Isabella (Cardinals)
- Cole Beasley (Bills)
- D.J. Chark (Jaguars)
- Willie Snead (Ravens)
- John Ross (Bengals)
- Mohamed Sanu (Falcons)
- Chris Conley (Jaguars)
- Patrick Williams (Dolphins)
- Rashard Higgins (Browns)
- Josh Gordon (Patriots)
- Nelson Agholor (Eagles)
- Keesean Johnson (Cardinals)
- Auden Tate (Bengals)
- Scott Miller (Buccaneers
- Josh Reynolds (Rams)
- Danny Amendola (Lions)
- Marqis Lee (Jaguars)
- Antonio Callaway (Browns)
- Hakeem Butler (Cardinals)
- Keith Kirkwood (Saints)
- Breshad Perriman (Buccaneers)
- Demarcus Robinson (Chiefs)
- Chris Hogan (Panthers)
- Jakobi Meyers (Patriots)
- Paul Richardson (Redskins)
- JJ Arcega-Whiteside (Eagles)
- David Moore (Seahawks)
- Cordarrelle Patterson (Bears)
- Quincy Enunwa (Jets)
- Bennie Fowler (Giants)
- Jake Kumerow (Packers)
- Phillip Dorsett (Patriots)
- Lil’Jordan Humphrey (Saints)
- Darius Slayton (Giants)
- Cyril Grayson Jr. (Saints)
- Jaron Brown (Seahawks)
- Olabisi Johnson (Vikings)
- Deon Cain (Colts)
- Keelan Cole (Jaguars)
- Trent Taylor (49ers)
- Travis Fulgham (Lions)
- Albert Wilson (Dolphins)
- Juwann Winfree (Broncos)
- Kelvin Harmon (Redskins)
- Chester Rogers(Colts)
- Josh Doctson (Redskins)
- Chad Beebe (Vikings)
- Brandon Powell (Lions)
- John Ursua (Seahawks)
- Equanimeous St. Brown (Packers)
- Travis Benjamin (Chargers)
- Taywan Taylor (Titans)
- Isaiah McKenzie (Bills)
- Gehrig Dieter (Chiefs)
- Marcus Green (Falcons)
- Terry Godwin (Panthers)
- Cody Core (Bengals)
- Gary Jennings Jr. (Seahawks)
- Braxton Berrios (Patriots)
- Tajae Sharpe (Titans)
- Demaryius Thomas (Patriots)
- Ryan Switzer (Steelers)
- Torrey Smith (Panthers)
- Allen Hurns (Dolphins)
- J.J. Nelson (Raiders)
- Artavis Scott (Chargers)
- Eli Rogers (Steelers)
- Damion Ratley (Browns)
- Tavon Austin (Cowboys)
- Justin Watson (Buccaneers)
- Laquon Treadwell (Vikings)
- Austin Carr (Saints)
- Kendrick Bourne (49ers)
- Riley Ridley (Bears)
- Dontrelle Inman (Patriots)
- Chris Moore (Ravens)
- Dillon Mitchell (Vikings)
- Marcus Kemp (Chiefs)
- Alex Erickson (Bengals)
- Richie James Jr. (49ers)
- Jarius Wright (Panthers)
- Jordan Lasley (Ravens)
- Zach Pascal (Colts)
- Tim Patrick (Broncos)
- Mack Hollins (Eagles)
- Cody Latimer (Giants)
- Johnny Holton (Steelers)
- Ryan Grant (Raiders)
- Andre Roberts (Bills)
- Ray Ray McCloud (Bills)
- J’Mon Moore (Packers)
- Javon Wims (Bears)
- Cameron Batson (Titans)
- Cameron Meredith (Patriots)
- Kevin White (Cardinals)
As Always,
(Teams Going Off + Thoughts Flexed In) = Combination Lineups
May the Fantasy Force Be With You.
Follow Moon Man on Twitter @FFPmoonman
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