The top two tiers of tight ends represent 200+ fantasy football point upside. However the next three tiers may produce the most ppr points to date. Athlete after athlete in volatile offensive situations should produce wild and productive fantasy seasons. While I have multiple shares of Noah Fant. He is an example of a productive volatile season. At his ADP, he should produce enough big games to finish as a top 9 tight end. Tiers 2-4 give us Hockenson, Gronk, Cook, Gesicki, Jarwin and Howard. All are sure to produce boom weeks?
On the flip side it makes sense for Gronk to put up duds when he is out there pancaking opponents. Pancakes get zero fantasy points. Blake Jarwin already showed his YPC and YAC abilities. In an explosive offensive that should produce boom weeks. Jarwin could surprise even the bullish considering Dak loves him some tight end targets.
O.J. Howard is name value in a situation where he will either deliver huge boom weeks or eat the pine for pissing off veteran loving head coach Bruce Arians. TJ Hockenson needs to rebound in 2020 or his first two seasons will have us saying an all time athlete bust. TJ when on the field has everything needed to crush it. Lets see his usage and if he matured through injuries.
Jared Cook is the perfect tight end for Drew Brees and company. He proved that by producing touchdowns with his routes ran between the 20 and 40 yard lines. The perfect fit for Sean Payton’s offense! Should be another efficient season from Cook. One with low floor weeks due to Brees spreading the ball around and offensive packages that do not include Cook.
The 2020 season gives us the fake Jason Witten ends. Im fading Austin Hooper, Hunter Henry and Tyler Higbee at their ADP. Do not see Hooper being a consistent option, Henry won’t have the volume to take advantage of his low Adot and Higbee will be gameplanned for by opposing defenses in 2020. Higbee is in the best situation but going too high in drafts.
Why not draft Irv Smith Jr., Jonnu Smith, Dallas Goedert, Ian Thomas or Chris Herndon?
Herndon could finish second on the Jets in targets behind Jamison Crowder. Ian Thomas is sure to benefit from the Panther’s new offensive and Teddy “Check IT Down” Bridgewater. Dallas Goedert did not opt out and did get up from that punch. Things are looking promising for Goedert to receive his highest target volume yet. Jonnu Smith is the clear cut starter. Like Hayden Hurst, Jonnu offers a high weekly snap % and with that comes opportunities.
With running back by committees being the norm. It would be advantageous for Fantasy Football Owners to target tight ends in the same manner. Especially in Daily Fantasy Sports. The 2020 season will be the year tight ends on the same squad provide weekly fantasy production. The Eagles, Buccaneers, Vikings, Steelers, Browns and Rams have viable tight end committees. The Saints, Packers, Bears, Seahawks, Colts, Texans have streaming and DFS options.
This means in bestballs we can fade the elite options. If we do this then we must pick the correct RB or WR. Even Mahomes or Lamar are in play this year at their ADP. Then later in drafts we can scoop up multiple tight ends who will produce enough booms weeks to make it a viable strategy. Target one tier 3 tight end and scoop a tier 3 or 4 later. Even plus 2 two tight ends after the tier 3 draft pick. Drafting a top tier tight end and then adding a tier 3-5 end is viable in 2020 as well. Pick your poison.
Fantasy Football
Tight End Rankings PPR
Tier I
1. Travis Kelce (Chiefs)
2. George Kittle (49ers)
Tier II
3. Zach Ertz (Eagles)
4. Mark Andrews (Ravens)
5. Darren Waller (Raiders)
6. Noah Fant (Broncos)
7. Hayden Hurst (Falcons)
8. Mike Gesicki (Dolphins)
Tier III
9. Jared Cook (Saints)
10. Tyler Higbee (Rams) – Good weekly tight end option nowadays, a poor man’s Jay Witt, will produce with Everett on the field. Rather wait on a tight end.
11. Hunter Henry (Chargers) – Underrated offense that has continuity entering the 2020 season, Tyrod will slide in and we will see rpos. Henry should do well with low Adot targets, upside if drafted correctly.
12. Dallas Goedert (Eagles) – Potentially top 3 in target share with upside to be clear cut starter with Ertz injury, good offensive situation.
13. TJ Hockenson (Lions) – Injury concern, talented, shares here and there.
14. Rob Gronkowski (Buccaneers) – Will be used in redzone and as a blocker often, upside if still Gronk.
Tier IV
15. Evan Engram (Giants) – An opportunity to produce under new offensive coordinator Jason Garrett. Injury probability.
16. Austin Hooper (Browns)
17. Jonnu Smith (Titans) – Multiple paths with upside, 65+ targets in store, rushing upside, good situation.
18. O.J. Howard (Buccaneers) – Talent entering year 4, productive offense, upside, risk reward.
19. Chris Herndon (Jets) – Herndon should be second on the team in targets behind Jamison Crowder.
20. Blake Jarwin (Cowboys) – Number One tight end on an explosive Fantasy Football offense, upside, big play Cowboy, volatile weeks.
21. Irv Smith Jr. (Vikings) – Will compete with Justin Jefferson for second leading target getter.
22. Ian Thomas (Panthers) – Unquestioned starter.
Tier V
23. Jace Sternberger (Packers) – Walking into available targets, talented, risk reward, value if drafted strategically.
24. Tyler Eifert (Jaguars)
25. Vance McDonald (Steelers)
26. Greg Olsen (Seahawks)
27. Eric Ebron (Steelers)
28. Gerald Everett (Rams)
29. Jack Doyle (Colts)
30. Cole Kmet (Bears)
Tier VI
31. Kyle Rudolph (Vikings)
32. David Njoku (Browns)
33. Darren Fells (Texans)
34. Dawson Knox (Bills)
35. Devin Asiasi (Patriots)
36. C.J. Uzomah (Bengals)
37. Dan Arnold (Cardinals)
38. Adam Trautman (Saints)
Tier VII
39. Will Dissly (Seahawks)
40. Jimmy Graham (Bears)
41. Jason Witten (Raiders)
42. Josiah Deguara (Packers)
43. Maxx Williams (Cardinals)
44. Trey Burton (Colts)
45. Cameron Brate (Buccaneers)
46. Nick Boyle (Ravens)
47. Jordan Akins (Texans)
Tier VIII
48. Albert Okwuegbunam (Broncos)
49. Ryan Griffin (Jets)
50. Josh Oliver (Jaguars)
51. Thadeus Moss (Washington)
52. Jacob Hollister (Seahawks)
53. Jordan Thomas (Texans)
54. Jordan Reed (Free Agent)
55. Jesse James (Lions)
56. Mo Alie Cox (Colts)
57. Ricky Seals Jones (Chiefs)
58. Kaden Smith (Giants)
Tier IX
59. Jeremy Sprinkle (Washington)
60. Colby Parkinson (Seahawks)
61. Anthony Firkser (Titans)
62. Foster Moreau (Raiders)
63. Drew Sample (Bengals)
64. Dalton Keene (Patriots)
65. Tyler Kroft (Bills)
Tier X
66. Harrison Bryant (Cleveland)
67. Adam Shaheen (Miami)
68. Ross Dwelley (49ers)
69. Hunter Bryant (Lions)
70. Jared Pinkney (Falcons)
71. Jaeden Graham (Falcons)
72. Brycen Hokins (Rams)
73. Jake Breeland (Ravens)
74. Charlie Woerner (49ers)
75. Tyler Davis (Jaguars)
76. Stephen Sullivan (Seahawks)
77. Eli Wolf (Ravens)
As Always,
May the Fantasy Force Be With You.
Twitter @FFPmoonman
Quarterback Rankings Top 12
https://ffphilosophy.com/2020/07/10/quarterback-rankings-fantasy-football-fade-draft/
Quarterbacks Rankings 13-42
https://ffphilosophy.com/2020/07/09/quarterback-rankings-fantasy-football-rushing-2020/
Top 20 Running Back Rankings
https://ffphilosophy.com/2020/07/06/running-back-rankings-top-20-the-blueprint-fantasy-football/
Running Backs 21-40
https://ffphilosophy.com/2020/07/07/running-back-rankings-fantasy-football-blueprint/